DDM Analysis: 601919.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$203.94 - $484.13	$453.70
Multi-Stage	$72.62 - $79.40	$75.95
Blended Fair Value	$264.83
Current Price	$14.34
Upside	1,746.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.40%	15.90%	0.77	1.98	3.07	0.13	0.22	0.29	0.21	0.13	0.15	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	-60.96%	-35.57%	2,211.89%	-38.71%	-26.02%	39.91%	65.13%	-17.55%	-14.46%	1.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.30%	19.01%	27.79%	0.86%	2.08%	9.25%	4.95%	2.79%	3.38%	3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	38,046.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25,613.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)	12,432.15

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7,609.20	4,755.75	2,853.45
Cash Retained (M)	12,432.15	12,432.15	12,432.15
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7,609.20	-4,755.75	-2,853.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,822.95	7,676.40	9,578.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15,628.89	15,628.89	15,628.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.49	0.61
LTM Dividend per Share	1.64	1.64	1.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.49	0.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.95	2.13	2.25
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$203.94	$453.70	$484.13
Upside / Downside	1,322.16%	3,063.88%	3,276.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	38,046.02	40,519.02	43,152.75	45,957.68	48,944.93	52,126.35	53,690.14
Payout Ratio	67.32%	71.86%	76.39%	80.93%	85.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25,613.87	29,116.44	32,966.13	37,193.25	41,830.63	46,913.72	49,663.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	27,080.78	27,337.47	27,594.16
Year 2 PV (M)	28,517.64	29,060.82	29,609.13
Year 3 PV (M)	29,924.90	30,783.93	31,659.26
Year 4 PV (M)	31,302.98	32,506.81	33,745.02
Year 5 PV (M)	32,652.32	34,229.44	35,866.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	985,503.46	1,033,103.65	1,082,525.60
Equity Value (M)	1,134,982.08	1,187,022.12	1,241,000.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	15,628.89	15,628.89	15,628.89
Fair Value	$72.62	$75.95	$79.40
Upside / Downside	406.42%	429.64%	453.73%

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. (601919.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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