DDM Analysis: 601058.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$37.78 - $211.76	$68.93
Multi-Stage	$22.79 - $24.90	$23.83
Blended Fair Value	$46.38
Current Price	$14.38
Upside	222.51%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.87%	15.16%	0.44	0.29	0.26	0.21	0.16	0.12	0.11	0.12	0.10	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	50.42%	12.82%	20.70%	29.99%	33.50%	8.41%	-6.54%	22.18%	-15.57%	10.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	1.90%	2.38%	2.16%	1.81%	3.26%	3.62%	4.02%	2.41%	3.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,690.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,578.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,112.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	738.15	461.35	276.81
Cash Retained (M)	2,112.45	2,112.45	2,112.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-738.15	-461.35	-276.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,374.30	1,651.11	1,835.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.54	3,256.54	3,256.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.42	0.51	0.56
LTM Dividend per Share	0.48	0.48	0.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.42	0.51	0.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.91	0.99	1.05
WACC / Discount Rate	8.03%	8.03%	8.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$37.78	$68.93	$211.76
Upside / Downside	162.69%	379.34%	1,372.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,690.77	3,930.67	4,186.17	4,458.27	4,748.05	5,056.68	5,208.38
Payout Ratio	42.76%	52.21%	61.66%	71.11%	80.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,578.32	2,052.25	2,581.12	3,170.08	3,824.69	4,551.01	4,817.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.03%	8.03%	8.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,881.83	1,899.66	1,917.50
Year 2 PV (M)	2,170.24	2,211.58	2,253.30
Year 3 PV (M)	2,444.10	2,514.26	2,585.75
Year 4 PV (M)	2,703.93	2,807.91	2,914.87
Year 5 PV (M)	2,950.23	3,092.73	3,240.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	62,063.37	65,061.06	68,173.47
Equity Value (M)	74,213.69	77,587.19	81,085.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.54	3,256.54	3,256.54
Fair Value	$22.79	$23.83	$24.90
Upside / Downside	58.48%	65.68%	73.15%

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Sailun Group Co., Ltd. (601058.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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