Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

DynaColor, Inc. (5489.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.12 - $18.60$15.82
Multi-Stage$20.63 - $22.59$21.59
Blended Fair Value$18.71
Current Price$49.90
Upside-62.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-12.68%0.00%1.011.521.001.011.521.990.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---33.77%52.17%-0.59%-33.64%-23.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.58%4.04%2.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.9024.9414.96
Cash Retained (M)98.8998.8998.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.90-24.94-14.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.0073.9683.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.8099.8099.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.740.84
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.740.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.12$15.82$18.60
Upside / Downside-73.70%-68.29%-62.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.48197.49195.51193.56191.62189.70195.40
Payout Ratio50.42%58.34%66.25%74.17%82.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.59115.21129.54143.56157.29170.73180.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)103.73104.79105.85
Year 2 PV (M)105.01107.17109.34
Year 3 PV (M)104.79108.03111.33
Year 4 PV (M)103.37107.66112.07
Year 5 PV (M)101.03106.29111.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,540.401,620.611,704.13
Equity Value (M)2,058.332,154.542,254.49
Shares Outstanding (M)99.8099.8099.80
Fair Value$20.63$21.59$22.59
Upside / Downside-58.67%-56.73%-54.73%

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