Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sarawak Plantation Berhad (5135.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.64 - $66.95$21.34
Multi-Stage$7.10 - $7.75$7.42
Blended Fair Value$14.38
Current Price$2.72
Upside428.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS37.97%0.00%0.250.150.200.100.050.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--66.66%-25.00%100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.78%6.94%9.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.3612.107.26
Cash Retained (M)41.0141.0141.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.36-12.10-7.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.6428.9133.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.64$21.34$66.95
Upside / Downside328.01%684.43%2,361.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96.81103.11109.81116.95124.55132.64136.62
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.59%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.8166.1177.5190.11104.03119.38126.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.6361.2061.77
Year 2 PV (M)65.1966.4367.69
Year 3 PV (M)69.5171.5173.54
Year 4 PV (M)73.5976.4279.33
Year 5 PV (M)77.4581.1985.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,634.731,713.691,795.67
Equity Value (M)1,981.102,070.442,163.08
Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
Fair Value$7.10$7.42$7.75
Upside / Downside161.03%172.80%185.00%

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