DDM Analysis: 300207.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.84 - $179.55	$97.20
Multi-Stage	$21.02 - $22.98	$21.98
Blended Fair Value	$59.59
Current Price	$33.79
Upside	76.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.70%	28.45%	0.41	0.44	0.41	0.30	0.22	0.28	0.28	0.08	0.05	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.72%	6.99%	34.77%	34.20%	-20.56%	2.27%	264.60%	56.50%	11.80%	29.36%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.85%	3.04%	2.02%	1.10%	1.16%	2.00%	2.22%	0.66%	0.39%	0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,661.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	649.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,011.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	332.29	207.68	124.61
Cash Retained (M)	1,011.89	1,011.89	1,011.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-332.29	-207.68	-124.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	679.61	804.21	887.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,840.31	1,840.31	1,840.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.44	0.48
LTM Dividend per Share	0.35	0.35	0.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.44	0.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.72	0.79	0.84
WACC / Discount Rate	7.37%	7.37%	7.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$40.84	$97.20	$179.55
Upside / Downside	20.88%	187.65%	431.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,661.44	1,769.44	1,884.45	2,006.94	2,137.39	2,276.32	2,344.61
Payout Ratio	39.10%	49.28%	59.46%	69.64%	79.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	649.55	871.91	1,120.44	1,397.60	1,706.05	2,048.69	2,168.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.37%	7.37%	7.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	804.47	812.10	819.72
Year 2 PV (M)	953.82	971.98	990.32
Year 3 PV (M)	1,097.73	1,129.24	1,161.35
Year 4 PV (M)	1,236.35	1,283.90	1,332.80
Year 5 PV (M)	1,369.83	1,435.99	1,504.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	33,217.10	34,821.50	36,487.30
Equity Value (M)	38,679.30	40,454.71	42,296.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,840.31	1,840.31	1,840.31
Fair Value	$21.02	$21.98	$22.98
Upside / Downside	-37.80%	-34.94%	-31.98%

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600120.SS	Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.13	32.28%
600143.SS	Kingfa Sci. & Tech. Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.40	85.82%
7735.T	SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$314.43	32.13%
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THEON.AS	Theon International PLC	2.06%	$0.55	52.53%
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086280.KS	Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$3,700.10	19.97%
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Sunwoda Electronic Co.,Ltd (300207.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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