Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NRG Energy, Inc. (0K4C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,210.91 - $1,426.65$1,336.98
Multi-Stage$405.26 - $444.38$424.45
Blended Fair Value$880.72
Current Price$161.95
Upside443.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS66.13%7.53%2.021.901.651.591.470.160.180.190.381.00
YoY Growth--6.30%14.76%4.08%8.14%821.88%-13.51%-2.63%-50.00%-62.19%2.55%
Dividend Yield--2.11%2.70%4.82%4.14%3.89%0.58%0.44%0.62%2.02%7.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)409.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,032.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)288.20180.13108.08
Cash Retained (M)1,032.001,032.001,032.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-288.20-180.13-108.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)743.80851.88923.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
LTM Dividend per Share2.042.042.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.746.286.64
WACC / Discount Rate4.85%4.85%4.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,210.91$1,336.98$1,426.65
Upside / Downside647.70%725.55%780.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,441.001,534.671,634.421,740.661,853.801,974.292,033.52
Payout Ratio28.38%40.71%53.03%65.35%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)409.00624.71866.731,137.571,439.971,776.871,881.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.85%4.85%4.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)590.22595.82601.41
Year 2 PV (M)773.68788.42803.29
Year 3 PV (M)959.40986.941,015.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,147.391,191.521,236.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,337.681,402.291,469.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,597.4980,297.1884,138.46
Equity Value (M)81,405.8685,262.1689,264.45
Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
Fair Value$405.26$424.45$444.38
Upside / Downside150.24%162.09%174.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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