DDM Analysis: 0K36.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$469.25 - $2,465.27	$939.49
Multi-Stage	$263.23 - $287.85	$275.32
Blended Fair Value	$607.41
Current Price	$476.48
Upside	27.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.40%	10.14%	3.42	3.12	2.84	2.56	2.32	2.09	1.86	1.60	1.57	1.50
YoY Growth	-	-	9.93%	9.51%	11.23%	10.24%	11.11%	12.10%	16.12%	1.86%	4.78%	15.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.74%	0.79%	0.93%	0.76%	0.78%	0.99%	1.01%	0.99%	1.41%	1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,244.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	689.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,555.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	448.80	280.50	168.30
Cash Retained (M)	1,555.00	1,555.00	1,555.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-448.80	-280.50	-168.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,106.20	1,274.50	1,386.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	181.03	181.03	181.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.11	7.04	7.66
LTM Dividend per Share	3.81	3.81	3.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.11	7.04	7.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.92	10.85	11.47
WACC / Discount Rate	7.73%	7.73%	7.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$469.25	$939.49	$2,465.27
Upside / Downside	-1.52%	97.17%	417.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,244.00	2,389.86	2,545.20	2,710.64	2,886.83	3,074.47	3,166.71
Payout Ratio	30.70%	42.56%	54.42%	66.28%	78.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	689.00	1,017.20	1,385.16	1,796.66	2,255.79	2,767.03	2,929.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.73%	7.73%	7.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	935.35	944.22	953.08
Year 2 PV (M)	1,171.21	1,193.52	1,216.04
Year 3 PV (M)	1,396.91	1,437.01	1,477.87
Year 4 PV (M)	1,612.77	1,674.79	1,738.58
Year 5 PV (M)	1,819.09	1,906.95	1,998.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	40,716.39	42,683.00	44,724.89
Equity Value (M)	47,651.72	49,839.49	52,108.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	181.03	181.03	181.03
Fair Value	$263.23	$275.32	$287.85
Upside / Downside	-44.75%	-42.22%	-39.59%

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GRNG.ST	Gränges AB (publ)	2.08%	$3.09	34.78%
ZGN	Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.	2.08%	$0.22	28.26%
000983.SZ	Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co.,Ltd.	2.07%	$0.13	44.44%
006090.KS	Oyang Corporation	2.07%	$187.55	43.67%
0O1O.L	Vetoquinol S.A.	2.07%	$1.74	19.10%
1748.HK	Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Limited	2.07%	$0.04	62.70%
4677.KL	YTL Corporation Berhad	2.07%	$0.04	26.42%
603136.SS	Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd	2.07%	$0.24	64.23%
7965.T	Zojirushi Corporation	2.07%	$32.35	36.35%
MRSA3B.SA	MRS Logística S.A.	2.07%	$0.81	18.86%
OCL.AX	Objective Corporation Limited	2.07%	$0.34	57.76%
TRTN	Triton International Limited	2.07%	$1.65	28.50%
001219.SZ	Qingdao Foods CO.,LTD.	2.06%	$0.29	55.25%
002351.SZ	Edifier Technology Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.25	53.80%
004830.KS	Duksung Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$100.30	19.66%
600120.SS	Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.13	32.28%
600143.SS	Kingfa Sci. & Tech. Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.40	85.82%
7735.T	SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$314.43	32.13%
ALSO3.SA	Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers S.A.	2.06%	$0.52	9.27%
MLIA.JK	PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk	2.06%	$6.98	27.72%
REA.AX	REA Group Limited	2.06%	$3.81	51.46%
THEON.AS	Theon International PLC	2.06%	$0.55	52.53%
000902.SZ	YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$0.32	26.06%
002938.SZ	Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited	2.05%	$1.04	59.37%
036930.KQ	JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$625.50	45.79%
086280.KS	Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$3,700.10	19.97%
2730.T	EDION Corporation	2.05%	$43.41	30.64%
4191.SR	Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company	2.05%	$1.01	76.56%
9527.SR	Ame Company For Medical Supplies	2.05%	$2.00	27.73%
BMIN3.SA	Banco Mercantil de Investimentos S.A.	2.05%	$0.47	28.32%
GUAR3.SA	Guararapes Confecções S.A.	2.05%	$0.18	20.09%
MGROS.IS	Migros Ticaret A.S.	2.05%	$10.88	31.41%
MLL.DE	Müller - Die lila Logistik AG	2.05%	$0.10	6.76%
RAY-A.TO	Stingray Group Inc.	2.05%	$0.30	39.32%
VIVA3.SA	Vivara Participações S.A.	2.05%	$0.66	20.93%
268280.KS	Miwon Specialty Chemical Co., Ltd.	2.04%	$2,814.57	22.79%
2869.HK	Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.	2.04%	$0.09	17.96%
450330.KQ	Hass	2.04%	$131.79	35.27%
605589.SS	Jinan Shengquan Group Share Holding Co., Ltd.	2.04%	$0.58	44.86%
CEK.DE	CeoTronics AG	2.04%	$0.26	34.71%
CSAP.JK	PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk	2.04%	$6.50	30.53%
ROTH.PA	Rothschild & Co SCA	2.04%	$0.78	13.71%
2476.TW	G-SHANK Enterprise Co., Ltd.	2.03%	$1.85	49.48%
2852.KL	Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad	2.03%	$0.03	28.80%
3788.HK	China Hanking Holdings Limited	2.03%	$0.08	36.16%
4004.SR	Dallah Healthcare Company	2.03%	$2.54	49.37%
601607.SS	Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd	2.03%	$0.36	23.77%

Financial Statements

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Moody's Corporation (0K36.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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