DDM Analysis: 0881.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$132.82 - $506.94	$383.26
Multi-Stage	$64.40 - $70.36	$67.32
Blended Fair Value	$225.29
Current Price	$11.04
Upside	1,940.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.62%	23.86%	0.71	0.97	0.71	0.46	0.38	0.30	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.96%	37.40%	55.27%	19.36%	26.25%	10.71%	18.89%	522.50%	-39.97%	-26.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.41%	5.74%	1.99%	0.92%	0.82%	1.06%	2.00%	1.55%	0.59%	1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,232.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,109.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,123.36

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,246.58	779.11	467.47
Cash Retained (M)	2,123.36	2,123.36	2,123.36
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,246.58	-779.11	-467.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	876.78	1,344.25	1,655.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,445.22	2,445.22	2,445.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.36	0.55	0.68
LTM Dividend per Share	1.68	1.68	1.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.36	0.55	0.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.04	2.23	2.36
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$132.82	$383.26	$506.94
Upside / Downside	1,103.07%	3,371.58%	4,491.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,232.91	6,638.05	7,069.52	7,529.04	8,018.43	8,539.63	8,795.81
Payout Ratio	65.93%	70.75%	75.56%	80.37%	85.19%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,109.55	4,696.18	5,341.72	6,051.33	6,830.63	7,685.66	8,136.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,342.88	4,384.05	4,425.21
Year 2 PV (M)	4,568.22	4,655.24	4,743.07
Year 3 PV (M)	4,785.76	4,923.14	5,063.12
Year 4 PV (M)	4,995.67	5,187.78	5,385.39
Year 5 PV (M)	5,198.13	5,449.20	5,709.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	133,570.39	140,021.89	146,720.31
Equity Value (M)	157,461.06	164,621.30	172,046.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,445.22	2,445.22	2,445.22
Fair Value	$64.40	$67.32	$70.36
Upside / Downside	483.29%	509.82%	537.33%

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Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited (0881.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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