Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwon F&B Co., Ltd. (049770.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216,866.17 - $1,226,818.66$410,384.12
Multi-Stage$124,038.10 - $135,734.01$129,778.95
Blended Fair Value$270,081.53
Current Price$32,100.00
Upside741.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.92%7.18%800.00700.00700.00700.00600.00600.00500.00500.00500.00600.00
YoY Growth--14.29%0.00%0.00%16.67%0.00%20.00%0.00%0.00%-16.67%50.00%
Dividend Yield--2.49%2.07%0.44%0.39%0.31%0.36%0.20%0.23%0.22%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)119,030.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,436.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)103,594.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,806.1814,878.868,927.32
Cash Retained (M)103,594.40103,594.40103,594.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,806.18-14,878.86-8,927.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)79,788.2288,715.5494,667.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.3019.3019.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,135.044,597.704,906.13
LTM Dividend per Share800.00800.00800.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,135.044,597.704,906.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,935.035,397.695,706.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$216,866.17$410,384.12$1,226,818.66
Upside / Downside575.60%1,178.46%3,721.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)119,030.90126,767.91135,007.82143,783.33153,129.24163,082.64167,975.12
Payout Ratio12.97%28.37%43.78%59.19%74.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,436.5035,970.1259,107.8985,101.60114,224.76146,774.38155,376.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)33,023.2833,336.2933,649.31
Year 2 PV (M)49,819.8150,768.7451,726.62
Year 3 PV (M)65,852.5667,742.9569,669.17
Year 4 PV (M)81,147.1984,267.8887,477.73
Year 5 PV (M)95,728.61100,352.34105,153.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,067,824.892,167,701.612,271,400.84
Equity Value (M)2,393,396.332,504,169.802,619,076.69
Shares Outstanding (M)19.3019.3019.30
Fair Value$124,038.10$129,778.95$135,734.01
Upside / Downside286.41%304.30%322.85%

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