DDM Analysis: 000786.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$27.55 - $50.48	$37.02
Multi-Stage	$22.32 - $24.30	$23.29
Blended Fair Value	$30.16
Current Price	$23.66
Upside	27.47%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.77%	19.60%	0.88	0.66	0.66	0.55	0.08	0.46	0.36	0.18	0.15	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	33.87%	-0.01%	18.89%	567.13%	-82.05%	29.58%	97.22%	22.90%	-17.65%	21.49%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.01%	2.23%	2.44%	1.82%	0.19%	1.95%	1.69%	0.71%	1.18%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,088.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,524.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,564.07

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	617.63	386.02	231.61
Cash Retained (M)	1,564.07	1,564.07	1,564.07
(-) Cash Required (M)	-617.63	-386.02	-231.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	946.44	1,178.05	1,332.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,689.30	1,689.30	1,689.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.70	0.79
LTM Dividend per Share	0.90	0.90	0.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.70	0.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.46	1.60	1.69
WACC / Discount Rate	11.10%	11.10%	11.10%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$27.55	$37.02	$50.48
Upside / Downside	16.42%	56.48%	113.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,088.16	3,288.89	3,502.67	3,730.34	3,972.82	4,231.05	4,357.98
Payout Ratio	49.35%	57.48%	65.61%	73.74%	81.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,524.09	1,890.53	2,298.16	2,750.80	3,252.57	3,807.95	4,031.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.10%	11.10%	11.10%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,685.65	1,701.63	1,717.60
Year 2 PV (M)	1,827.04	1,861.84	1,896.97
Year 3 PV (M)	1,949.89	2,005.87	2,062.90
Year 4 PV (M)	2,055.72	2,134.77	2,216.09
Year 5 PV (M)	2,145.91	2,249.56	2,357.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,041.45	29,395.86	30,802.11
Equity Value (M)	37,705.66	39,349.53	41,052.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,689.30	1,689.30	1,689.30
Fair Value	$22.32	$23.29	$24.30
Upside / Downside	-5.66%	-1.55%	2.71%

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Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited Company (000786.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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