Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanxi Hi-speed Group Co., Ltd. (000755.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.87 - $62.33$58.40
Multi-Stage$35.64 - $39.20$37.38
Blended Fair Value$47.89
Current Price$4.83
Upside891.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.15%4.17%0.190.240.210.270.320.200.210.270.070.09
YoY Growth---20.58%14.77%-23.32%-15.68%60.11%-5.66%-21.70%293.72%-25.95%-25.94%
Dividend Yield--3.93%5.19%3.71%6.03%9.95%5.32%4.20%4.21%1.01%1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)474.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)423.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.9259.3235.59
Cash Retained (M)51.1551.1551.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.92-59.32-35.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)-43.77-8.1815.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,467.411,467.411,467.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate2.17%3.17%4.17%
Fair Value$52.87$58.40$62.33
Upside / Downside994.68%1,109.03%1,190.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)474.59489.66505.21521.25537.80554.87571.52
Payout Ratio89.22%89.38%89.53%89.69%89.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)423.45437.65452.33467.50483.18499.39528.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate2.17%3.17%4.17%
Year 1 PV (M)432.85437.09441.33
Year 2 PV (M)442.46451.17459.96
Year 3 PV (M)452.29465.70479.37
Year 4 PV (M)462.33480.69499.60
Year 5 PV (M)472.59496.17520.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,028.8652,525.4555,120.72
Equity Value (M)52,291.3854,856.2757,521.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,467.411,467.411,467.41
Fair Value$35.64$37.38$39.20
Upside / Downside637.79%673.97%711.58%

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