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Irani Papel e Embalagem S.A. (RANI3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$178.48 - $334.14$313.14
Multi-Stage$52.65 - $57.63$55.09
Blended Fair Value$184.12
Current Price$8.34
Upside2,107.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS102.25%18.82%0.540.890.680.390.070.020.000.020.000.08
YoY Growth---38.73%29.57%76.56%443.60%344.13%5,377.94%-98.36%1,227.88%-98.21%-22.43%
Dividend Yield--7.53%10.40%9.37%7.36%1.75%0.74%0.01%1.24%0.07%3.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)390.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)221.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.0548.7829.27
Cash Retained (M)221.18221.18221.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.05-48.78-29.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)143.13172.40191.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.26232.26232.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.471.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$178.48$313.14$334.14
Upside / Downside2,040.02%3,654.71%3,906.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)390.24415.60442.62471.39502.03534.66550.70
Payout Ratio43.32%52.66%61.99%71.33%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.06218.84274.39336.23404.96481.19509.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)203.95205.88207.82
Year 2 PV (M)238.32242.85247.44
Year 3 PV (M)272.15279.97287.93
Year 4 PV (M)305.47317.22329.31
Year 5 PV (M)338.28354.62371.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,869.7511,394.7711,939.87
Equity Value (M)12,227.9312,795.3113,383.94
Shares Outstanding (M)232.26232.26232.26
Fair Value$52.65$55.09$57.63
Upside / Downside531.27%560.56%590.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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