Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology AG (PFV.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$133.90 - $627.24$297.55
Multi-Stage$92.06 - $100.62$96.26
Blended Fair Value$196.90
Current Price$162.20
Upside21.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.55%1.77%3.160.114.081.601.252.302.003.603.202.65
YoY Growth--2,772.90%-97.31%155.00%27.99%-45.65%15.00%-44.45%12.50%20.76%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.07%2.63%0.92%0.81%1.76%1.40%2.85%2.71%2.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.283.922.35
Cash Retained (M)0.230.230.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.28-3.92-2.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.05-3.70-2.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.879.879.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.61-0.37-0.22
LTM Dividend per Share3.163.163.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.61-0.37-0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.552.782.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.55%5.55%6.55%
Fair Value$133.90$297.55$627.24
Upside / Downside-17.45%83.44%286.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.4033.1434.9836.9238.9741.1442.37
Payout Ratio99.27%97.42%95.56%93.71%91.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.1732.2933.4334.6035.8037.0239.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.55%5.55%6.55%
Year 1 PV (M)30.0230.3130.59
Year 2 PV (M)28.9029.4530.01
Year 3 PV (M)27.8128.6129.43
Year 4 PV (M)26.7527.7928.85
Year 5 PV (M)25.7226.9728.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)769.26806.76845.71
Equity Value (M)908.45949.89992.88
Shares Outstanding (M)9.879.879.87
Fair Value$92.06$96.26$100.62
Upside / Downside-43.24%-40.65%-37.97%

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