Definitive Analysis
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The Gorman-Rupp Company (GRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.66 - $87.82$56.22
Multi-Stage$30.48 - $33.28$31.85
Blended Fair Value$44.03
Current Price$46.41
Upside-5.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.75%6.94%0.720.700.680.630.590.552.500.470.430.40
YoY Growth--3.05%3.22%7.75%7.74%7.13%-78.08%434.33%9.36%5.84%9.10%
Dividend Yield--2.06%1.80%2.72%1.76%1.77%1.75%7.29%1.60%1.36%1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.056.283.77
Cash Retained (M)30.8130.8130.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.05-6.28-3.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.7624.5327.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.2626.2626.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.931.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.931.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.77
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Fair Value$38.66$56.22$87.82
Upside / Downside-16.70%21.13%89.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.2553.2356.4059.7563.3067.0669.07
Payout Ratio38.69%48.95%59.21%69.47%79.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.4426.0633.3941.5150.4760.3563.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)23.6623.8824.11
Year 2 PV (M)27.5328.0628.59
Year 3 PV (M)31.0731.9732.88
Year 4 PV (M)34.3035.6336.99
Year 5 PV (M)37.2439.0540.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)646.51677.90710.51
Equity Value (M)800.30836.48874.00
Shares Outstanding (M)26.2626.2626.26
Fair Value$30.48$31.85$33.28
Upside / Downside-34.33%-31.37%-28.29%

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