Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cloud Technologies S.A. (CLD.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.44 - $15.52$12.86
Multi-Stage$20.83 - $22.83$21.81
Blended Fair Value$17.33
Current Price$47.60
Upside-63.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.190.970.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--22.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.80%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.220.760.46
Cash Retained (M)0.470.470.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.22-0.76-0.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.75-0.290.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.734.734.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.060.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.060.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.44$12.86$15.52
Upside / Downside-78.08%-72.99%-67.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.106.045.985.925.865.805.98
Payout Ratio92.28%91.83%91.37%90.91%90.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.635.555.465.385.305.225.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.105.155.20
Year 2 PV (M)4.624.714.81
Year 3 PV (M)4.184.314.44
Year 4 PV (M)3.793.944.10
Year 5 PV (M)3.433.613.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)77.4781.5085.70
Equity Value (M)98.58103.22108.05
Shares Outstanding (M)4.734.734.73
Fair Value$20.83$21.81$22.83
Upside / Downside-56.25%-54.19%-52.05%

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