Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

VT Industrial Technology Co.,Ltd (300707.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.45 - $26.45$24.79
Multi-Stage$18.04 - $19.80$18.90
Blended Fair Value$21.84
Current Price$14.50
Upside50.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.44%-3.65%0.090.050.040.030.040.090.050.030.020.03
YoY Growth--69.87%49.97%33.30%-24.73%-60.00%81.01%62.96%50.00%-31.98%-77.59%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.37%0.21%0.18%0.24%0.65%0.27%0.11%0.18%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.722.951.77
Cash Retained (M)12.1712.1712.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.72-2.95-1.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.469.2210.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.34177.34177.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate-1.03%-1.03%-1.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.45$24.79$26.45
Upside / Downside54.81%70.93%82.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.5825.1226.7528.4930.3432.3133.28
Payout Ratio48.39%56.71%65.03%73.35%81.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.4114.2417.4020.9024.7829.0830.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.03%-1.03%-1.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.2614.3914.53
Year 2 PV (M)17.4317.7618.09
Year 3 PV (M)20.9521.5522.17
Year 4 PV (M)24.8725.8326.81
Year 5 PV (M)29.2130.6232.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,092.283,241.633,396.71
Equity Value (M)3,198.993,351.783,510.39
Shares Outstanding (M)177.34177.34177.34
Fair Value$18.04$18.90$19.80
Upside / Downside24.41%30.35%36.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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