DDM Analysis: SAFT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$82.56 - $148.65	$110.21
Multi-Stage	$129.12 - $141.60	$135.24
Blended Fair Value	$122.72
Current Price	$70.69
Upside	73.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.25%	3.10%	3.61	3.61	3.59	3.66	3.70	3.57	3.31	3.08	2.86	2.84
YoY Growth	-	-	0.06%	0.48%	-1.80%	-1.04%	3.62%	7.90%	7.38%	7.56%	0.69%	6.80%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.58%	4.46%	4.82%	4.03%	4.39%	4.23%	3.74%	4.01%	4.09%	4.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	87.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	53.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.45	10.91	6.55
Cash Retained (M)	33.63	33.63	33.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.45	-10.91	-6.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	16.17	22.72	27.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14.75	14.75	14.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.10	1.54	1.84
LTM Dividend per Share	3.64	3.64	3.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.10	1.54	1.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.73	5.18	5.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.89%	6.89%	6.89%
Growth Rate	1.10%	2.10%	3.10%
Fair Value	$82.56	$110.21	$148.65
Upside / Downside	16.79%	55.91%	110.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	87.27	89.11	90.98	92.88	94.83	96.82	99.73
Payout Ratio	61.47%	67.17%	72.88%	78.59%	84.29%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	53.65	59.86	66.30	72.99	79.94	87.14	92.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.89%	6.89%	6.89%
Growth Rate	1.10%	2.10%	3.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	55.45	56.00	56.54
Year 2 PV (M)	56.90	58.03	59.17
Year 3 PV (M)	58.03	59.76	61.54
Year 4 PV (M)	58.86	61.23	63.66
Year 5 PV (M)	59.44	62.44	65.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,616.36	1,697.89	1,782.69
Equity Value (M)	1,905.03	1,995.35	2,089.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	14.75	14.75	14.75
Fair Value	$129.12	$135.24	$141.60
Upside / Downside	82.65%	91.31%	100.30%

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SIE.DE	Siemens AG	2.14%	$5.16	41.34%
TBIG.JK	PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk	2.14%	$55.65	85.41%
VNX.DE	NXP Semiconductors N.V.	2.14%	$4.05	49.93%
010100.KS	Korea Movenex Co., Ltd.	2.13%	$99.68	9.18%
300154.SZ	Shenzhen Riland Industry Group Co., Ltd	2.13%	$0.21	90.73%
600848.SS	Shanghai Lingang Holdings Co.,Ltd.	2.13%	$0.25	39.80%
7259.T	Aisin Corporation	2.13%	$62.39	27.27%
ALBRK.IS	Albaraka Türk Katilim Bankasi A.S.	2.13%	$0.17	3.51%
BUR	Burford Capital Limited	2.13%	$0.19	47.60%
ECSC.L	ECSC Group plc	2.13%	$1.12	22.10%
PR9.BK	Praram 9 Hospital Public Company Limited	2.13%	$0.40	38.51%
000630.SZ	Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd.	2.12%	$0.13	92.15%
000878.SZ	Yunnan Copper Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.44	67.43%
002223.SZ	Jiangsu Yuyue Medical Equipment & Supply Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.81	46.42%
002731.SZ	Shenyang Cuihua Gold and Silver Jewelry Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.27	24.86%
0RKK.L	Volati AB	2.12%	$2.20	57.57%
0RVK.L	Befesa S.A.	2.12%	$0.74	64.88%
163560.KS	DRB Industrial Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$146.78	36.08%
2641.TWO	Franbo Lines Corp.	2.12%	$0.43	25.10%
443060.KS	Hdhms	2.12%	$4,099.93	69.50%
605500.SS	Forest Packaging Group Co.,Ltd.	2.12%	$0.19	89.23%
6455.T	Morita Holdings Corporation	2.12%	$58.45	24.57%
CCOLA.IS	Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi	2.12%	$1.26	25.02%
MTWI.JK	PT Malacca Trust Wuwungan Insurance Tbk	2.12%	$7.84	25.68%
PNDX-B.ST	Pandox AB (publ)	2.12%	$4.25	40.78%
000860.KS	Kangnam Jevisco Co., Ltd	2.11%	$292.39	59.03%
002440.SZ	Zhejiang Runtu Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.16	60.72%
002973.SZ	Qiaoyin City Management Co.,Ltd.	2.11%	$0.29	59.79%
0400.HK	Ingdan, Inc.	2.11%	$0.06	22.33%
0Z4I.L	Sunny Optical Technology (Group) Company Limited	2.11%	$0.71	15.45%
200771.SZ	Hangzhou Steam Turbine Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.28	59.18%
285130.KS	SK Chemicals Co.,Ltd	2.11%	$1,396.25	31.71%
688558.SS	Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.61	53.65%
NRDF.CO	Nordfyns Bank A/S	2.11%	$13.08	94.24%
001880.KS	DL Construction Co., Ltd.	2.10%	$300.93	16.73%
002967.SZ	GRG Metrology & Test Group Co. Ltd. Class A	2.10%	$0.46	62.67%
023350.KS	Korea Engineering Consultants Corp.	2.10%	$100.00	16.54%
1423.TW	Reward Wool Industry Corporation	2.10%	$0.79	18.73%
2811.T	Kagome Co., Ltd.	2.10%	$56.56	39.32%
601456.SS	Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd.	2.10%	$0.21	68.71%
U10.SI	UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited	2.10%	$0.05	24.07%
UNBL.PA	Unibel S.A.	2.10%	$24.73	34.10%
3979.T	Uluru.Co.,Ltd.	2.09%	$8.71	36.14%
600309.SS	Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd.	2.09%	$1.60	45.09%
7714.TWO	Uniforce Technology Corp.	2.09%	$3.83	69.36%
ALIG.ST	Alimak Group AB (publ)	2.09%	$2.98	45.61%
002226.SZ	Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.	2.08%	$0.12	39.66%
002706.SZ	Shanghai Liangxin Electrical Co.,LTD.	2.08%	$0.22	79.51%
002763.SZ	Shenzhen Huijie Group Co., Ltd.	2.08%	$0.15	78.60%
4016.SR	Middle East Pharmaceutical Industries Company	2.08%	$2.35	48.29%

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Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener