Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Securitas AB (publ) (S7MB.BE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$866.52 - $1,937.66$1,815.87
Multi-Stage$287.24 - $314.56$300.65
Blended Fair Value$1,058.26
Current Price$143.17
Upside639.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.27%7.11%3.803.452.802.553.062.802.552.392.231.91
YoY Growth--10.12%23.25%9.86%-16.67%9.09%10.00%6.65%7.15%16.66%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.68%3.07%3.02%2.76%2.48%3.22%2.01%2.05%1.95%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,582.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,289.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,293.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,116.40697.75418.65
Cash Retained (M)4,293.004,293.004,293.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,116.40-697.75-418.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,176.603,595.253,874.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)572.92572.92572.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.546.286.76
LTM Dividend per Share2.252.252.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.546.286.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.798.539.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$866.52$1,815.87$1,937.66
Upside / Downside505.24%1,168.33%1,253.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,582.005,944.836,331.246,742.777,181.067,647.827,877.26
Payout Ratio23.09%36.47%49.86%63.24%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,289.002,168.303,156.464,263.925,502.016,883.047,286.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,017.812,036.942,056.06
Year 2 PV (M)2,733.522,785.592,838.14
Year 3 PV (M)3,436.313,534.963,635.47
Year 4 PV (M)4,126.364,285.044,448.26
Year 5 PV (M)4,803.825,035.855,276.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)147,445.30154,566.96161,961.19
Equity Value (M)164,563.12172,245.33180,215.89
Shares Outstanding (M)572.92572.92572.92
Fair Value$287.24$300.65$314.56
Upside / Downside100.63%109.99%119.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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