Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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REC Limited (RECLTD.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,037.22 - $13,014.55$12,196.54
Multi-Stage$1,858.04 - $2,033.83$1,944.32
Blended Fair Value$7,070.43
Current Price$372.85
Upside1,796.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.89%19.27%21.2610.8311.839.148.238.239.537.477.165.50
YoY Growth--96.31%-8.44%29.40%11.00%0.00%-13.64%27.58%4.36%30.17%50.77%
Dividend Yield--5.28%1.97%7.18%9.85%7.39%10.15%7.84%9.52%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)172,669.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,087.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)116,582.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,533.9421,583.7112,950.23
Cash Retained (M)116,582.00116,582.00116,582.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,533.94-21,583.71-12,950.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)82,048.0694,998.29103,631.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,638.562,638.562,638.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.1036.0039.28
LTM Dividend per Share21.2621.2621.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.1036.0039.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend52.3557.2660.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,037.22$12,196.54$13,014.55
Upside / Downside1,251.00%3,171.17%3,390.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)172,669.70183,893.23195,846.29208,576.30222,133.76236,572.45243,669.63
Payout Ratio32.48%43.99%55.49%66.99%78.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,087.7080,887.50108,674.31139,731.65174,367.29212,915.21225,394.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75,169.4675,881.9676,594.47
Year 2 PV (M)93,852.7295,640.3597,444.85
Year 3 PV (M)112,143.67115,362.91118,643.18
Year 4 PV (M)130,048.39135,049.69140,193.87
Year 5 PV (M)147,572.91154,700.74162,101.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,343,757.044,553,562.124,771,396.95
Equity Value (M)4,902,544.185,130,197.775,366,374.67
Shares Outstanding (M)2,638.562,638.562,638.56
Fair Value$1,858.04$1,944.32$2,033.83
Upside / Downside398.33%421.47%445.48%

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