Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi Tbk. (MTEL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$811.68 - $3,629.17$1,418.58
Multi-Stage$519.41 - $566.65$542.61
Blended Fair Value$980.60
Current Price$555.00
Upside76.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS75.67%0.00%18.4121.6211.8226.691.261.101.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---14.88%82.89%-55.70%2,013.09%14.78%10.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.26%3.52%1.68%3.47%0.17%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,134,366.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,504,281.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)630,085.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)426,873.20266,795.75160,077.45
Cash Retained (M)630,085.00630,085.00630,085.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-426,873.20-266,795.75-160,077.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)203,211.80363,289.25470,007.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
LTM Dividend per Share18.4118.4118.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.8922.8524.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$811.68$1,418.58$3,629.17
Upside / Downside46.25%155.60%553.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,134,366.002,273,099.792,420,851.282,578,206.612,745,790.042,924,266.393,011,994.38
Payout Ratio70.48%74.38%78.29%82.19%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,504,281.001,690,805.371,895,222.332,119,069.842,364,010.212,631,839.752,786,094.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,547,771.171,562,441.991,577,112.80
Year 2 PV (M)1,588,131.391,618,380.831,648,915.65
Year 3 PV (M)1,625,491.371,672,153.391,719,699.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,659,976.271,723,814.271,789,476.08
Year 5 PV (M)1,691,706.851,773,416.921,858,254.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,336,849.7935,995,332.4737,717,289.19
Equity Value (M)42,449,926.8344,345,539.8746,310,747.92
Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
Fair Value$519.41$542.61$566.65
Upside / Downside-6.41%-2.23%2.10%

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