Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,602.12 - $4,943.24$2,560.23
Multi-Stage$1,070.96 - $1,169.53$1,119.35
Blended Fair Value$1,839.79
Current Price$600.00
Upside206.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.24%24.82%21.0014.5010.507.406.605.002.001.061.030.91
YoY Growth--44.83%38.10%41.89%12.12%32.00%150.00%87.88%2.86%13.14%-60.00%
Dividend Yield--3.85%2.40%1.81%1.09%2.04%2.21%0.95%0.67%0.84%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)754,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294,645.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)459,360.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150,801.0094,250.6356,550.38
Cash Retained (M)459,360.00459,360.00459,360.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-150,801.00-94,250.63-56,550.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)308,559.00365,109.38402,809.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
LTM Dividend per Share24.0024.0024.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.1353.7456.81
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,602.12$2,560.23$4,943.24
Upside / Downside167.02%326.70%723.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)754,005.00803,015.33855,211.32910,800.06970,002.061,033,052.191,064,043.76
Payout Ratio39.08%49.26%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294,645.00395,580.30508,392.31634,198.56774,211.66929,746.98984,240.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)360,384.71363,800.68367,216.65
Year 2 PV (M)421,951.34429,988.33438,101.14
Year 3 PV (M)479,535.04493,300.77507,327.45
Year 4 PV (M)533,318.33553,828.24574,924.12
Year 5 PV (M)583,476.37611,658.50640,919.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,769,419.8111,289,586.8211,829,661.84
Equity Value (M)13,148,085.6113,742,163.3414,358,150.41
Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
Fair Value$1,070.96$1,119.35$1,169.53
Upside / Downside78.49%86.56%94.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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