Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk (KINO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$556.56 - $770.66$664.09
Multi-Stage$1,136.77 - $1,249.78$1,192.15
Blended Fair Value$928.12
Current Price$1,195.00
Upside-22.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.38%-3.07%22.730.7310.0024.87106.7259.0627.9725.9038.340.00
YoY Growth--2,996.34%-92.66%-59.78%-76.70%80.70%111.11%8.00%-32.43%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.05%0.05%0.66%0.73%5.16%2.94%1.10%1.31%1.53%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137,117.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77,453.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,664.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27,423.5317,139.7110,283.82
Cash Retained (M)59,664.0659,664.0659,664.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-27,423.53-17,139.71-10,283.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,240.5342,524.3549,380.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,378.821,378.821,378.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.3830.8435.81
LTM Dividend per Share56.1756.1756.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.3830.8435.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend79.5687.0291.99
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate-5.07%-4.07%-3.07%
Fair Value$556.56$664.09$770.66
Upside / Downside-53.43%-44.43%-35.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137,117.67131,538.15126,185.68121,051.01116,125.28111,399.97114,741.97
Payout Ratio56.49%63.19%69.89%76.59%83.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77,453.6083,118.3988,193.9292,718.7696,729.33100,259.98106,136.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate-5.07%-4.07%-3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)75,807.7976,606.3577,404.91
Year 2 PV (M)73,362.1674,915.8976,485.90
Year 3 PV (M)70,342.5072,588.9674,882.74
Year 4 PV (M)66,930.6569,795.7172,751.78
Year 5 PV (M)63,271.9566,675.4370,223.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,217,680.501,283,181.131,351,470.61
Equity Value (M)1,567,395.551,643,763.471,723,219.77
Shares Outstanding (M)1,378.821,378.821,378.82
Fair Value$1,136.77$1,192.15$1,249.78
Upside / Downside-4.87%-0.24%4.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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