Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Høland og Setskog Sparebank (HSPG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,157.73 - $1,990.90$1,517.31
Multi-Stage$3,264.33 - $3,601.24$3,429.45
Blended Fair Value$2,473.38
Current Price$169.98
Upside1,355.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.64%-2.29%7.007.007.007.005.008.007.505.005.0010.42
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%39.97%-37.49%6.67%50.01%0.00%-52.03%18.09%
Dividend Yield--4.38%5.43%4.93%4.17%3.94%6.78%7.35%5.00%4.81%9.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.848.024.81
Cash Retained (M)58.0158.0158.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.84-8.02-4.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.1749.9853.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.690.690.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.6672.6677.32
LTM Dividend per Share9.009.009.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.6672.6677.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend74.6681.6686.32
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Fair Value$1,157.73$1,517.31$1,990.90
Upside / Downside581.10%792.64%1,071.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.2064.0563.9063.7563.6063.4565.35
Payout Ratio9.64%25.72%41.79%57.86%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.1916.4726.7036.8847.0257.1060.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Year 1 PV (M)15.5115.6715.82
Year 2 PV (M)23.6724.1624.64
Year 3 PV (M)30.7931.7432.70
Year 4 PV (M)36.9638.4840.05
Year 5 PV (M)42.2744.4646.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,096.322,204.622,317.35
Equity Value (M)2,245.532,359.122,477.29
Shares Outstanding (M)0.690.690.69
Fair Value$3,264.33$3,429.45$3,601.24
Upside / Downside1,820.42%1,917.56%2,018.63%

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