Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Genova Property Group AB (publ) (GPG.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$928.88 - $1,094.37$1,025.59
Multi-Stage$254.63 - $279.17$266.67
Blended Fair Value$646.13
Current Price$38.60
Upside1,573.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.29%13.30%1.531.871.241.320.921.902.881.020.680.00
YoY Growth---18.19%50.80%-5.83%42.86%-51.61%-33.99%182.80%49.73%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.73%4.94%2.08%1.12%1.17%2.50%3.79%1.34%0.90%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)251.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)202.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.2031.3818.83
Cash Retained (M)202.10202.10202.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.20-31.38-18.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)151.90170.73183.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.6145.6145.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.333.744.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.333.744.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.404.815.09
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$928.88$1,025.59$1,094.37
Upside / Downside2,306.41%2,556.96%2,735.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)251.00267.32284.69303.20322.90343.89354.21
Payout Ratio19.48%33.59%47.69%61.79%75.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.9089.78135.77187.35245.07309.50327.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)84.5185.3186.11
Year 2 PV (M)120.30122.59124.91
Year 3 PV (M)156.27160.76165.33
Year 4 PV (M)192.42199.82207.43
Year 5 PV (M)228.75239.80251.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,832.1411,355.3411,898.56
Equity Value (M)11,614.4012,163.6312,733.62
Shares Outstanding (M)45.6145.6145.61
Fair Value$254.63$266.67$279.17
Upside / Downside559.66%590.86%623.23%

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