DDM Analysis: AKRA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10,676.10 - $24,212.42	$22,690.58
Multi-Stage	$3,715.86 - $4,061.22	$3,885.39
Blended Fair Value	$13,287.99
Current Price	$1,210.00
Upside	998.18%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.26%	22.77%	99.88	124.85	41.95	26.97	19.99	36.57	44.70	30.36	18.17	25.92
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.00%	197.62%	55.56%	34.90%	-45.33%	-18.18%	47.20%	67.08%	-29.88%	101.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.12%	7.30%	2.71%	2.96%	3.10%	9.26%	4.70%	2.68%	1.45%	1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,405,838.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,977,629.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	428,208.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	481,167.63	300,729.77	180,437.86
Cash Retained (M)	428,208.68	428,208.68	428,208.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-481,167.63	-300,729.77	-180,437.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-52,958.95	127,478.91	247,770.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19,760.98	19,760.98	19,760.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-2.68	6.45	12.54
LTM Dividend per Share	100.08	100.08	100.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-2.68	6.45	12.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend	97.40	106.53	112.62
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$10,676.10	$22,690.58	$24,212.42
Upside / Downside	782.32%	1,775.25%	1,901.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,405,838.14	2,562,217.61	2,728,761.76	2,906,131.27	3,095,029.81	3,296,206.74	3,395,092.95
Payout Ratio	82.20%	83.76%	85.32%	86.88%	88.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,977,629.46	2,146,139.47	2,328,200.30	2,524,861.59	2,737,252.21	2,966,586.07	3,140,460.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,996,936.47	2,015,864.78	2,034,793.09
Year 2 PV (M)	2,015,732.77	2,054,126.81	2,092,883.07
Year 3 PV (M)	2,034,025.99	2,092,415.57	2,151,912.03
Year 4 PV (M)	2,051,823.72	2,130,731.07	2,211,892.74
Year 5 PV (M)	2,069,133.40	2,169,073.31	2,272,838.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	63,261,388.49	66,316,937.20	69,489,428.96
Equity Value (M)	73,429,040.83	76,779,148.75	80,253,748.06
Shares Outstanding (M)	19,760.98	19,760.98	19,760.98
Fair Value	$3,715.86	$3,885.39	$4,061.22
Upside / Downside	207.10%	221.11%	235.64%

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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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