Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Benesse Holdings, Inc. (9783.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$653.25 - $1,032.07$826.43
Multi-Stage$2,979.18 - $3,289.09$3,131.02
Blended Fair Value$1,978.72
Current Price$2,585.00
Upside-23.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.70%-4.51%59.9954.9549.9649.9649.9672.4294.8594.7094.7294.72
YoY Growth--9.17%9.98%0.00%0.00%-31.00%-23.65%0.15%-0.01%0.00%-0.52%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.99%2.27%1.81%1.73%2.82%2.41%2.23%3.94%3.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,442.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,787.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)655.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,288.40805.25483.15
Cash Retained (M)655.00655.00655.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,288.40-805.25-483.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)-633.40-150.25171.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)96.4796.4796.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-6.57-1.561.78
LTM Dividend per Share59.9959.9959.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-6.57-1.561.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.4258.4361.77
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Fair Value$653.25$826.43$1,032.07
Upside / Downside-74.73%-68.03%-60.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,442.006,291.396,144.306,000.655,860.365,723.345,895.04
Payout Ratio89.83%89.87%89.90%89.93%89.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,787.005,653.815,523.695,396.565,272.365,151.015,452.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Year 1 PV (M)5,351.515,406.885,462.24
Year 2 PV (M)4,948.805,051.725,155.70
Year 3 PV (M)4,576.394,719.894,866.37
Year 4 PV (M)4,232.004,409.864,593.27
Year 5 PV (M)3,913.534,120.204,335.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)264,374.01278,335.07292,879.81
Equity Value (M)287,396.24302,043.63317,292.90
Shares Outstanding (M)96.4796.4796.47
Fair Value$2,979.18$3,131.02$3,289.09
Upside / Downside15.25%21.12%27.24%

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