Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Mining Industries Co. (9583.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.58 - $27.68$22.20
Multi-Stage$44.80 - $49.28$47.00
Blended Fair Value$34.60
Current Price$40.00
Upside-13.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.401.900.451.190.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---26.32%322.22%-62.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.18%7.57%1.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.013.131.88
Cash Retained (M)4.754.754.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.01-3.13-1.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.261.622.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.0014.0014.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.120.21
LTM Dividend per Share1.451.451.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.120.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.571.66
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.58$22.20$27.68
Upside / Downside-56.05%-44.49%-30.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25.0524.8024.5524.3124.0623.8224.54
Payout Ratio81.04%82.83%84.62%86.41%88.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.3020.5420.7821.0021.2321.4422.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19.1919.3819.58
Year 2 PV (M)18.1318.5018.87
Year 3 PV (M)17.1217.6518.19
Year 4 PV (M)16.1616.8317.52
Year 5 PV (M)15.2416.0416.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)541.37569.56598.92
Equity Value (M)627.20657.95689.93
Shares Outstanding (M)14.0014.0014.00
Fair Value$44.80$47.00$49.28
Upside / Downside12.00%17.49%23.20%

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