Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

San-Ai Obbli Co., Ltd. (8097.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,208.30 - $1,943.56$1,540.26
Multi-Stage$2,150.64 - $2,356.29$2,251.51
Blended Fair Value$1,895.88
Current Price$1,815.00
Upside4.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS26.72%19.60%101.7269.7749.2130.7831.1331.1331.3626.9722.0023.05
YoY Growth--45.78%41.79%59.87%-1.13%0.00%-0.71%16.25%22.61%-4.56%35.65%
Dividend Yield--5.60%3.29%3.24%3.20%2.42%3.20%2.90%1.97%1.92%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,116.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,282.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)834.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,423.20889.50533.70
Cash Retained (M)834.00834.00834.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,423.20-889.50-533.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-589.20-55.50300.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.7362.7362.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-9.39-0.884.79
LTM Dividend per Share100.14100.14100.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share-9.39-0.884.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend90.7599.26104.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Fair Value$1,208.30$1,540.26$1,943.56
Upside / Downside-33.43%-15.14%7.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,116.007,174.677,233.827,293.467,353.597,414.227,636.64
Payout Ratio88.28%88.62%88.97%89.31%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,282.006,358.476,435.786,513.936,592.936,672.797,063.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)5,865.925,924.685,983.45
Year 2 PV (M)5,477.325,587.615,699.00
Year 3 PV (M)5,114.395,269.635,427.99
Year 4 PV (M)4,775.434,969.685,169.79
Year 5 PV (M)4,458.874,686.734,923.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)109,220.71114,802.06120,609.28
Equity Value (M)134,912.64141,240.39147,813.31
Shares Outstanding (M)62.7362.7362.73
Fair Value$2,150.64$2,251.51$2,356.29
Upside / Downside18.49%24.05%29.82%

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