Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ricoh Company, Ltd. (7752.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,020.44 - $1,586.95$1,282.20
Multi-Stage$1,778.90 - $1,954.44$1,864.98
Blended Fair Value$1,573.59
Current Price$1,306.50
Upside20.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.15%-0.98%38.3737.1832.5024.5225.9032.8622.1225.2950.5743.62
YoY Growth--3.21%14.40%32.56%-5.34%-21.18%48.53%-12.51%-50.00%15.94%2.98%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.65%2.66%2.31%2.08%4.27%2.06%2.49%5.10%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61,018.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,960.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,058.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,203.607,627.254,576.35
Cash Retained (M)39,058.0039,058.0039,058.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,203.60-7,627.25-4,576.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,854.4031,430.7534,481.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)573.37573.37573.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share46.8454.8260.14
LTM Dividend per Share38.3038.3038.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share46.8454.8260.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.1493.1298.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Fair Value$1,020.44$1,282.20$1,586.95
Upside / Downside-21.89%-1.86%21.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61,018.0061,172.2961,326.9761,482.0461,637.5061,793.3563,647.15
Payout Ratio35.99%46.79%57.59%68.40%79.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,960.0028,623.4335,320.4342,051.1048,815.5955,614.0258,873.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Year 1 PV (M)26,352.6426,618.1526,883.66
Year 2 PV (M)29,938.5430,544.8631,157.25
Year 3 PV (M)32,815.9133,817.8234,839.92
Year 4 PV (M)35,072.6036,507.5737,986.12
Year 5 PV (M)36,787.1438,678.0640,645.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)859,004.90903,159.28949,110.96
Equity Value (M)1,019,971.711,069,325.731,120,623.87
Shares Outstanding (M)573.37573.37573.37
Fair Value$1,778.90$1,864.98$1,954.44
Upside / Downside36.16%42.75%49.59%

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