Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bank of Shanghai Co., Ltd. (601229.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.56 - $201.85$79.48
Multi-Stage$37.19 - $40.63$38.87
Blended Fair Value$59.18
Current Price$8.96
Upside560.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.48%36.25%1.290.400.880.830.760.750.770.350.000.07
YoY Growth--222.66%-54.46%6.22%8.82%1.38%-2.36%120.55%13,437.20%-96.22%16.09%
Dividend Yield--13.11%5.90%14.67%12.46%8.65%9.10%8.18%4.28%0.03%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,047.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,541.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,809.583,005.991,803.59
Cash Retained (M)1,506.021,506.021,506.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,809.58-3,005.99-1,803.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3,303.56-1,499.97-297.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,165.5016,165.5016,165.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.20-0.09-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.20-0.09-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Fair Value$45.56$79.48$201.85
Upside / Downside408.48%787.03%2,152.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,047.9125,324.8026,669.4928,085.5929,576.8731,147.3432,081.76
Payout Ratio93.74%92.99%92.24%91.49%90.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,541.8923,549.5124,600.5925,696.9026,840.2628,032.6029,675.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Year 1 PV (M)21,792.8722,001.8022,210.72
Year 2 PV (M)21,067.3821,473.2621,883.00
Year 3 PV (M)20,364.7120,956.0421,558.71
Year 4 PV (M)19,684.1620,449.9121,237.80
Year 5 PV (M)19,025.0619,954.6620,920.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)499,196.69523,588.47548,924.53
Equity Value (M)601,130.86628,424.14656,735.02
Shares Outstanding (M)16,165.5016,165.5016,165.50
Fair Value$37.19$38.87$40.63
Upside / Downside315.02%333.87%353.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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