Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Western Mining Co.,Ltd. (601168.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.59 - $262.44$169.78
Multi-Stage$33.10 - $36.13$34.59
Blended Fair Value$102.18
Current Price$22.00
Upside364.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.37%11.47%0.781.680.200.120.100.430.410.270.300.27
YoY Growth---53.65%738.92%66.67%20.00%-76.96%5.19%52.77%-11.43%11.77%3.92%
Dividend Yield--4.57%8.79%1.58%0.87%0.80%7.65%6.01%3.98%3.54%4.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,144.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,827.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)316.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)628.93393.08235.85
Cash Retained (M)316.89316.89316.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-628.93-393.08-235.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)-312.04-76.2081.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,383.002,383.002,383.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.13-0.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.13-0.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.151.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64.59$169.78$262.44
Upside / Downside193.60%671.73%1,092.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,144.653,349.053,566.743,798.584,045.494,308.444,437.70
Payout Ratio89.92%89.94%89.95%89.97%89.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,827.763,012.083,208.423,417.553,640.313,877.604,104.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,782.772,809.142,835.52
Year 2 PV (M)2,738.482,790.652,843.30
Year 3 PV (M)2,694.912,772.272,851.10
Year 4 PV (M)2,652.022,754.012,858.92
Year 5 PV (M)2,609.822,735.882,866.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)65,402.3368,561.2871,841.14
Equity Value (M)78,880.3382,423.2386,096.73
Shares Outstanding (M)2,383.002,383.002,383.00
Fair Value$33.10$34.59$36.13
Upside / Downside50.46%57.22%64.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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