DDM Analysis: 4188.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13,272.64 - $15,646.69	$14,658.93
Multi-Stage	$13,423.21 - $14,775.75	$14,086.45
Blended Fair Value	$14,372.69
Current Price	$851.30
Upside	1,588.32%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-4.33%	9.95%	32.34	31.32	30.29	27.25	24.21	40.35	37.55	27.60	16.65	14.57
YoY Growth	-	-	3.26%	3.38%	11.17%	12.54%	-39.98%	7.45%	36.04%	65.81%	14.29%	16.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.27%	3.41%	3.51%	3.70%	2.59%	6.43%	4.83%	2.98%	1.79%	3.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	114,231.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45,542.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	68,689.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22,846.20	14,278.88	8,567.33
Cash Retained (M)	68,689.00	68,689.00	68,689.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22,846.20	-14,278.88	-8,567.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45,842.80	54,410.13	60,121.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,407.89	1,407.89	1,407.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	32.56	38.65	42.70
LTM Dividend per Share	32.35	32.35	32.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	32.56	38.65	42.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	64.91	70.99	75.05
WACC / Discount Rate	-7.88%	-7.88%	-7.88%
Growth Rate	2.24%	3.24%	4.24%
Fair Value	$13,272.64	$14,658.93	$15,646.69
Upside / Downside	1,459.10%	1,621.95%	1,737.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	114,231.00	117,932.17	121,753.25	125,698.15	129,770.86	133,975.53	137,994.79
Payout Ratio	39.87%	49.89%	59.92%	69.95%	79.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45,542.00	58,841.86	72,955.77	87,922.50	103,782.51	120,577.97	127,645.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-7.88%	-7.88%	-7.88%
Growth Rate	2.24%	3.24%	4.24%
Year 1 PV (M)	63,258.22	63,876.94	64,495.66
Year 2 PV (M)	84,318.08	85,975.56	87,649.17
Year 3 PV (M)	109,242.51	112,479.43	115,779.67
Year 4 PV (M)	138,626.52	144,130.18	149,796.12
Year 5 PV (M)	173,149.27	181,784.32	190,760.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,329,774.20	19,243,890.43	20,194,118.26
Equity Value (M)	18,898,368.80	19,832,136.87	20,802,599.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,407.89	1,407.89	1,407.89
Fair Value	$13,423.21	$14,086.45	$14,775.75
Upside / Downside	1,476.79%	1,554.70%	1,635.67%

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Financial Statements

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Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation (4188.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener