Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kagome Co., Ltd. (2811.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,134.35 - $7,712.98$4,680.58
Multi-Stage$2,481.14 - $2,711.16$2,594.05
Blended Fair Value$3,637.32
Current Price$2,870.50
Upside26.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.11%4.94%37.7835.0435.0534.4233.2837.9928.5323.3123.3917.60
YoY Growth--7.81%-0.03%1.83%3.44%-12.41%33.17%22.39%-0.32%32.87%-24.53%
Dividend Yield--1.29%0.96%1.13%1.10%0.95%1.35%0.91%0.62%0.81%0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,420.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,277.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,143.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,684.001,677.501,006.50
Cash Retained (M)8,143.008,143.008,143.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,684.00-1,677.50-1,006.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,459.006,465.507,136.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.5293.5293.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share58.3869.1476.31
LTM Dividend per Share56.4356.4356.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share58.3869.1476.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend114.80125.57132.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate4.77%5.77%6.77%
Fair Value$3,134.35$4,680.58$7,712.98
Upside / Downside9.19%63.06%168.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,420.0014,194.6015,013.9115,880.5216,797.1417,766.6718,299.67
Payout Ratio39.32%49.46%59.59%69.73%79.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,277.007,020.308,947.2611,073.2913,414.9315,990.0016,927.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate4.77%5.77%6.77%
Year 1 PV (M)6,402.686,463.796,524.90
Year 2 PV (M)7,442.237,584.977,729.07
Year 3 PV (M)8,400.328,643.158,890.62
Year 4 PV (M)9,281.419,640.8610,010.66
Year 5 PV (M)10,089.7510,580.5411,090.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)190,408.66199,670.60209,289.49
Equity Value (M)232,025.06242,583.92253,535.00
Shares Outstanding (M)93.5293.5293.52
Fair Value$2,481.14$2,594.05$2,711.16
Upside / Downside-13.56%-9.63%-5.55%

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