Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

FTGroup Co., Ltd. (2763.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,358.70 - $1,989.32$1,662.66
Multi-Stage$2,409.36 - $2,648.64$2,526.67
Blended Fair Value$2,094.66
Current Price$1,233.00
Upside69.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.67%9.06%55.8155.9856.9965.4166.3963.9052.0244.6832.1327.22
YoY Growth---0.30%-1.77%-12.88%-1.47%3.89%22.84%16.44%39.04%18.04%16.05%
Dividend Yield--4.80%4.84%5.28%7.25%5.03%4.94%3.41%3.36%3.39%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,324.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,644.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,680.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,064.80665.50399.30
Cash Retained (M)3,680.003,680.003,680.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,064.80-665.50-399.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,615.203,014.503,280.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
LTM Dividend per Share55.1855.1855.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend142.95156.35165.29
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Fair Value$1,358.70$1,662.66$1,989.32
Upside / Downside10.19%34.85%61.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,324.005,265.915,208.455,151.625,095.415,039.815,191.01
Payout Ratio30.88%42.70%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,644.002,248.712,840.033,418.183,983.384,535.834,801.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Year 1 PV (M)2,057.092,078.102,099.11
Year 2 PV (M)2,376.632,425.432,474.72
Year 3 PV (M)2,616.702,697.702,780.35
Year 4 PV (M)2,789.522,905.243,024.53
Year 5 PV (M)2,905.723,057.173,214.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,040.9062,118.2165,322.53
Equity Value (M)71,786.5675,281.8678,916.11
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
Fair Value$2,409.36$2,526.67$2,648.64
Upside / Downside95.41%104.92%114.81%

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