Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

S-Pool, Inc. (2471.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,145.12 - $4,580.35$3,077.02
Multi-Stage$560.79 - $613.22$586.52
Blended Fair Value$1,831.77
Current Price$320.00
Upside472.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS58.77%0.00%10.028.036.013.302.000.990.710.380.380.38
YoY Growth--24.72%33.69%82.24%64.97%101.28%39.29%86.85%0.76%0.49%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.30%2.48%0.93%0.33%0.20%0.15%0.19%0.20%0.64%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,809.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)789.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,020.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)361.80226.13135.68
Cash Retained (M)1,020.001,020.001,020.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-361.80-226.13-135.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)658.20793.88884.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.5578.5578.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.3810.1111.26
LTM Dividend per Share10.0510.0510.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.3810.1111.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.4320.1521.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,145.12$3,077.02$4,580.35
Upside / Downside257.85%861.57%1,331.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,809.001,926.592,051.812,185.182,327.222,478.492,552.84
Payout Ratio43.62%52.89%62.17%71.45%80.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)789.001,019.011,275.591,561.231,878.602,230.642,361.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)941.67950.59959.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,089.301,110.051,131.00
Year 3 PV (M)1,232.031,267.391,303.43
Year 4 PV (M)1,369.961,422.641,476.83
Year 5 PV (M)1,503.211,575.821,651.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,911.0339,742.1541,643.35
Equity Value (M)44,047.2046,068.6548,165.33
Shares Outstanding (M)78.5578.5578.55
Fair Value$560.79$586.52$613.22
Upside / Downside75.25%83.29%91.63%

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