DDM Analysis: 2282.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$71.19 - $319.12	$124.50
Multi-Stage	$52.63 - $57.55	$55.04
Blended Fair Value	$89.77
Current Price	$12.88
Upside	596.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	40.48%	-7.70%	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.13	0.16	0.27	0.21	1.21
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-35.16%	-20.50%	-41.66%	30.19%	-82.58%	-21.99%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.62%	1.00%	1.22%	1.20%	1.31%	12.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8,804.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,934.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,869.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,760.81	1,100.51	660.30
Cash Retained (M)	3,869.54	3,869.54	3,869.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,760.81	-1,100.51	-660.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,108.73	2,769.03	3,209.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,815.20	3,815.20	3,815.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.73	0.84
LTM Dividend per Share	1.29	1.29	1.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.73	0.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.85	2.02	2.13
WACC / Discount Rate	7.35%	7.35%	7.35%
Growth Rate	4.63%	5.63%	6.63%
Fair Value	$71.19	$124.50	$319.12
Upside / Downside	452.74%	866.59%	2,377.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8,804.06	9,300.10	9,824.09	10,377.61	10,962.31	11,579.95	11,927.35
Payout Ratio	56.05%	62.84%	69.63%	76.42%	83.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,934.52	5,844.05	6,840.41	7,930.49	9,121.70	10,421.96	11,032.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.35%	7.35%	7.35%
Growth Rate	4.63%	5.63%	6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,392.51	5,444.05	5,495.59
Year 2 PV (M)	5,824.20	5,936.06	6,048.98
Year 3 PV (M)	6,230.63	6,410.98	6,594.78
Year 4 PV (M)	6,612.78	6,869.23	7,133.06
Year 5 PV (M)	6,971.64	7,311.21	7,663.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	169,758.36	178,026.89	186,614.52
Equity Value (M)	200,790.13	209,998.42	219,550.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,815.20	3,815.20	3,815.20
Fair Value	$52.63	$55.04	$57.55
Upside / Downside	308.61%	327.35%	346.79%

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MGM China Holdings Limited (2282.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener