Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Swiss Life Holding AG (0QMG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,041.85 - $1,957.88$1,414.22
Multi-Stage$1,627.82 - $1,784.61$1,704.73
Blended Fair Value$1,559.48
Current Price$802.60
Upside94.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.55%18.30%32.7530.3926.4722.6616.5318.9515.9412.349.397.17
YoY Growth--7.75%14.79%16.82%37.11%-12.80%18.91%29.21%31.37%30.92%17.61%
Dividend Yield--4.68%5.20%5.55%4.05%4.01%3.90%4.20%3.58%3.26%2.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,991.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,447.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)544.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)398.30248.94149.36
Cash Retained (M)544.50544.50544.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-398.30-248.94-149.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.20295.56395.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.8628.8628.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.0710.2413.69
LTM Dividend per Share50.1450.1450.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.0710.2413.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend55.2160.3863.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$1,041.85$1,414.22$1,957.88
Upside / Downside29.81%76.21%143.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,991.502,037.402,084.362,132.412,181.562,231.842,298.79
Payout Ratio72.66%76.13%79.60%83.06%86.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,447.001,551.011,659.051,771.251,887.742,008.662,126.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)1,439.781,453.991,468.20
Year 2 PV (M)1,429.621,457.981,486.62
Year 3 PV (M)1,416.831,459.211,502.42
Year 4 PV (M)1,401.721,457.891,515.73
Year 5 PV (M)1,384.531,454.231,526.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,904.6041,913.4044,002.29
Equity Value (M)46,977.0849,196.7051,501.97
Shares Outstanding (M)28.8628.8628.86
Fair Value$1,627.82$1,704.73$1,784.61
Upside / Downside102.82%112.40%122.35%

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