Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Incheon City Gas Co., Ltd. (034590.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55,585.03 - $96,142.50$73,019.79
Multi-Stage$115,549.72 - $127,182.90$121,253.01
Blended Fair Value$97,136.40
Current Price$26,050.00
Upside272.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.96%1,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.44
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.99%
Dividend Yield--5.12%4.93%4.72%4.70%4.85%5.32%4.28%4.18%4.14%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,059.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,152.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,907.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,611.942,257.461,354.48
Cash Retained (M)12,907.2212,907.2212,907.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,611.94-2,257.46-1,354.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,295.2710,649.7511,552.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.124.124.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,255.832,584.542,803.69
LTM Dividend per Share1,250.441,250.441,250.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,255.832,584.542,803.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,506.273,834.984,054.12
WACC / Discount Rate5.96%5.96%5.96%
Growth Rate-0.33%0.67%1.67%
Fair Value$55,585.03$73,019.79$96,142.50
Upside / Downside113.38%180.31%269.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,059.7218,181.4518,304.0118,427.3918,551.6118,676.6619,236.96
Payout Ratio28.53%40.82%53.12%65.41%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,152.507,422.459,722.7612,053.7514,415.7216,808.9917,794.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.96%5.96%5.96%
Growth Rate-0.33%0.67%1.67%
Year 1 PV (M)6,935.287,004.857,074.43
Year 2 PV (M)8,488.348,659.528,832.40
Year 3 PV (M)9,832.6910,131.6110,436.53
Year 4 PV (M)10,987.6111,435.2311,896.39
Year 5 PV (M)11,970.8512,583.5213,221.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)427,914.13449,814.86472,603.25
Equity Value (M)476,128.89499,629.59524,064.04
Shares Outstanding (M)4.124.124.12
Fair Value$115,549.72$121,253.01$127,182.90
Upside / Downside343.57%365.46%388.23%

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