Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

KT&G Corporation (033780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$97,423.82 - $148,416.57$121,319.65
Multi-Stage$120,710.33 - $131,813.32$126,159.52
Blended Fair Value$123,739.59
Current Price$133,600.00
Upside-7.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.04%3.83%5,442.737,203.845,343.305,525.895,167.464,686.014,686.014,217.413,973.673,971.55
YoY Growth---24.45%34.82%-3.30%6.94%10.27%0.00%11.11%6.13%0.05%6.25%
Dividend Yield--5.38%7.87%6.37%6.85%6.35%6.27%4.46%4.22%4.08%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,143,499.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)602,969.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)540,530.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)228,699.80142,937.3885,762.43
Cash Retained (M)540,530.00540,530.00540,530.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-228,699.80-142,937.38-85,762.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)311,830.20397,592.63454,767.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.78107.78107.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,893.203,688.914,219.39
LTM Dividend per Share5,594.425,594.425,594.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,893.203,688.914,219.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,487.619,283.339,813.80
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate1.55%2.55%3.55%
Fair Value$97,423.82$121,319.65$148,416.57
Upside / Downside-27.08%-9.19%11.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,143,499.001,172,650.701,202,545.591,233,202.591,264,641.151,296,881.181,335,787.61
Payout Ratio52.73%60.18%67.64%75.09%82.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)602,969.00705,749.72813,379.03926,037.341,043,911.121,167,193.061,235,603.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate1.55%2.55%3.55%
Year 1 PV (M)633,053.11639,287.05645,521.00
Year 2 PV (M)654,443.00667,395.63680,475.18
Year 3 PV (M)668,338.97688,278.30708,610.32
Year 4 PV (M)675,804.75702,820.30730,637.83
Year 5 PV (M)677,781.70711,817.50747,207.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,700,797.9910,187,937.7610,694,453.84
Equity Value (M)13,010,219.5313,597,536.5414,206,905.27
Shares Outstanding (M)107.78107.78107.78
Fair Value$120,710.33$126,159.52$131,813.32
Upside / Downside-9.65%-5.57%-1.34%

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