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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. (000810.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,210,564.06 - $3,717,948.21$1,932,101.49
Multi-Stage$899,894.92 - $983,698.41$941,030.93
Blended Fair Value$1,436,566.21
Current Price$451,500.00
Upside218.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.86%18.63%16,021.9913,826.7812,022.508,800.228,500.2211,500.1810,000.206,117.675,228.694,695.94
YoY Growth--15.88%15.01%36.62%3.53%-26.09%15.00%63.46%17.00%11.35%61.80%
Dividend Yield--4.48%4.53%5.84%4.02%4.47%7.47%3.24%2.26%1.95%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,990,667.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)809,299.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,181,368.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)398,133.56248,833.48149,300.09
Cash Retained (M)1,181,368.531,181,368.531,181,368.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-398,133.56-248,833.48-149,300.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)783,234.97932,535.061,032,068.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.5142.5142.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share18,424.7221,936.8424,278.25
LTM Dividend per Share19,037.8619,037.8619,037.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share18,424.7221,936.8424,278.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend37,462.5840,974.7043,316.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Fair Value$1,210,564.06$1,932,101.49$3,717,948.21
Upside / Downside168.12%327.93%723.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,990,667.812,107,258.062,230,676.812,361,324.002,499,622.992,646,021.932,725,402.58
Payout Ratio40.65%50.52%60.39%70.26%80.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)809,299.281,064,665.371,347,168.131,659,110.282,002,971.212,381,419.732,520,997.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Year 1 PV (M)975,569.29984,873.11994,176.93
Year 2 PV (M)1,131,128.081,152,805.671,174,689.01
Year 3 PV (M)1,276,468.871,313,338.601,350,911.54
Year 4 PV (M)1,412,064.951,466,706.821,522,919.40
Year 5 PV (M)1,538,370.371,613,138.681,690,786.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,920,931.5833,472,361.7635,083,536.44
Equity Value (M)38,254,533.1340,003,224.6541,817,019.60
Shares Outstanding (M)42.5142.5142.51
Fair Value$899,894.92$941,030.93$983,698.41
Upside / Downside99.31%108.42%117.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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