DDM Analysis: 000498.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$82.04 - $177.88	$166.70
Multi-Stage	$27.05 - $29.60	$28.30
Blended Fair Value	$97.50
Current Price	$6.13
Upside	1,490.57%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.04%	27.19%	0.77	0.61	0.51	0.31	0.33	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.05	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	25.93%	21.56%	61.79%	-6.23%	66.40%	27.01%	201.47%	12.19%	-13.57%	-22.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	13.30%	11.03%	6.78%	3.66%	5.38%	3.67%	2.53%	0.86%	0.56%	0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,275.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,106.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,168.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	455.13	284.46	170.68
Cash Retained (M)	1,168.89	1,168.89	1,168.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-455.13	-284.46	-170.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	713.76	884.43	998.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,544.24	2,544.24	2,544.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.28	0.35	0.39
LTM Dividend per Share	0.44	0.44	0.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.28	0.35	0.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.72	0.78	0.83
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$82.04	$166.70	$177.88
Upside / Downside	1,238.31%	2,619.43%	2,801.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,275.67	2,423.59	2,581.12	2,748.89	2,927.57	3,117.86	3,211.40
Payout Ratio	48.64%	56.91%	65.18%	73.45%	81.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,106.78	1,379.22	1,682.40	2,019.17	2,392.62	2,806.08	2,970.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,283.84	1,296.01	1,308.18
Year 2 PV (M)	1,457.77	1,485.53	1,513.56
Year 3 PV (M)	1,628.58	1,675.33	1,722.97
Year 4 PV (M)	1,796.34	1,865.42	1,936.48
Year 5 PV (M)	1,961.07	2,055.79	2,154.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	60,698.78	63,630.55	66,674.53
Equity Value (M)	68,826.38	72,008.64	75,309.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,544.24	2,544.24	2,544.24
Fair Value	$27.05	$28.30	$29.60
Upside / Downside	341.30%	361.71%	382.87%

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Financial Statements

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Shandong Hi-Speed Road and Bridge Group Co., Ltd. (000498.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener