DDM Analysis: YDUQ3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$65.81 - $171.64	$160.85
Multi-Stage	$24.92 - $27.25	$26.06
Blended Fair Value	$93.46
Current Price	$12.92
Upside	623.34%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.06%	3.33%	0.28	0.29	0.13	0.50	0.54	0.54	1.77	0.31	1.89	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.24%	115.02%	-73.50%	-7.61%	0.17%	-69.42%	472.82%	-83.66%	428.92%	74.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.46%	1.59%	1.88%	2.39%	2.03%	2.44%	6.62%	0.89%	11.90%	3.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	244.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	149.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)	94.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	48.90	30.56	18.34
Cash Retained (M)	94.54	94.54	94.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-48.90	-30.56	-18.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45.64	63.98	76.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	283.30	283.30	283.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.23	0.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.53	0.53	0.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.23	0.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.69	0.76	0.80
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$65.81	$160.85	$171.64
Upside / Downside	409.40%	1,144.97%	1,228.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	244.50	260.40	277.32	295.35	314.54	334.99	345.04
Payout Ratio	61.33%	67.07%	72.80%	78.53%	84.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	149.96	174.64	201.89	231.94	265.06	301.49	319.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	162.28	163.81	165.35
Year 2 PV (M)	174.32	177.64	180.99
Year 3 PV (M)	186.10	191.44	196.88
Year 4 PV (M)	197.61	205.21	213.03
Year 5 PV (M)	208.86	218.95	229.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,130.35	6,426.45	6,733.88
Equity Value (M)	7,059.52	7,383.50	7,719.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	283.30	283.30	283.30
Fair Value	$24.92	$26.06	$27.25
Upside / Downside	92.87%	101.72%	110.90%

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Financial Statements

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Yduqs Participações S.A. (YDUQ3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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