Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WAM Strategic Value Limited (WAR.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.60 - $2.42$1.99
Multi-Stage$3.28 - $3.61$3.44
Blended Fair Value$2.72
Current Price$1.08
Upside151.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.040.030.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--41.18%21.43%376.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.55%3.86%3.59%0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.724.202.52
Cash Retained (M)16.9616.9616.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.72-4.20-2.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.2412.7614.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)180.15180.15180.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.60$1.99$2.42
Upside / Downside48.44%84.20%124.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.6233.2932.9532.6332.3031.9832.94
Payout Ratio49.55%57.64%65.73%73.82%81.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.6619.1921.6624.0826.4628.7830.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.7317.9118.09
Year 2 PV (M)18.5018.8819.26
Year 3 PV (M)19.0019.5920.19
Year 4 PV (M)19.2920.0920.91
Year 5 PV (M)19.3920.4021.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)497.27523.16550.12
Equity Value (M)591.17620.02650.02
Shares Outstanding (M)180.15180.15180.15
Fair Value$3.28$3.44$3.61
Upside / Downside203.85%218.67%234.09%

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