DDM Analysis: VIE.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$212.93 - $584.65	$547.91
Multi-Stage	$85.55 - $93.43	$89.42
Blended Fair Value	$318.66
Current Price	$30.25
Upside	953.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.90%	14.13%	1.32	1.19	1.05	0.57	0.58	0.69	0.63	0.60	0.71	0.69
YoY Growth	-	-	11.29%	13.16%	84.13%	-1.20%	-16.32%	10.05%	5.21%	-15.72%	1.89%	96.62%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.88%	4.19%	4.38%	1.77%	2.99%	3.02%	3.62%	2.91%	4.53%	3.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,168.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,108.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	433.62	271.01	162.61
Cash Retained (M)	60.10	60.10	60.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-433.62	-271.01	-162.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-373.52	-210.91	-102.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	737.50	737.50	737.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.51	-0.29	-0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	2.86	2.86	2.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.51	-0.29	-0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.35	2.57	2.72
WACC / Discount Rate	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$212.93	$547.91	$584.65
Upside / Downside	603.92%	1,711.26%	1,832.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,168.10	2,309.03	2,459.11	2,618.96	2,789.19	2,970.48	3,059.60
Payout Ratio	97.23%	95.78%	94.34%	92.89%	91.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,108.00	2,211.64	2,319.85	2,432.78	2,550.59	2,673.44	2,830.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,053.97	2,073.44	2,092.91
Year 2 PV (M)	2,000.87	2,038.98	2,077.45
Year 3 PV (M)	1,948.69	2,004.63	2,061.63
Year 4 PV (M)	1,897.41	1,970.38	2,045.43
Year 5 PV (M)	1,847.01	1,936.22	2,028.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	53,346.22	55,922.87	58,598.12
Equity Value (M)	63,094.18	65,946.52	68,904.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	737.50	737.50	737.50
Fair Value	$85.55	$89.42	$93.43
Upside / Downside	182.82%	195.60%	208.86%

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Veolia Environnement S.A. (VIE.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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