DDM Analysis: SIDO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,310.02 - $6,878.84	$2,362.91
Multi-Stage	$1,144.06 - $1,251.04	$1,196.56
Blended Fair Value	$1,779.74
Current Price	$535.00
Upside	232.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.03%	10.31%	36.21	35.81	36.42	34.14	25.95	21.46	21.96	12.98	12.36	12.07
YoY Growth	-	-	1.12%	-1.66%	6.66%	31.54%	20.93%	-2.27%	69.23%	5.01%	2.36%	-11.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.47%	5.87%	4.19%	3.35%	3.33%	3.70%	4.43%	3.85%	4.41%	4.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,211,453.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,167,522.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43,931.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	242,290.60	151,431.63	90,858.98
Cash Retained (M)	43,931.00	43,931.00	43,931.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-242,290.60	-151,431.63	-90,858.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-198,359.60	-107,500.63	-46,927.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	29,822.77	29,822.77	29,822.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-6.65	-3.60	-1.57
LTM Dividend per Share	39.15	39.15	39.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-6.65	-3.60	-1.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	32.50	35.54	37.58
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Fair Value	$1,310.02	$2,362.91	$6,878.84
Upside / Downside	144.86%	341.67%	1,185.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,211,453.00	1,271,468.88	1,334,457.97	1,400,567.57	1,469,952.27	1,542,774.31	1,589,057.54
Payout Ratio	96.37%	95.10%	93.82%	92.55%	91.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,167,522.00	1,209,153.62	1,252,044.73	1,296,217.97	1,341,695.09	1,388,496.88	1,469,878.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,124,191.56	1,135,005.87	1,145,820.19
Year 2 PV (M)	1,082,274.75	1,103,197.08	1,124,319.71
Year 3 PV (M)	1,041,728.54	1,072,081.81	1,103,019.03
Year 4 PV (M)	1,002,511.11	1,041,646.48	1,081,916.61
Year 5 PV (M)	964,581.91	1,011,877.77	1,061,010.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,903,846.46	30,321,074.21	31,793,356.87
Equity Value (M)	34,119,134.33	35,684,883.22	37,309,443.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	29,822.77	29,822.77	29,822.77
Fair Value	$1,144.06	$1,196.56	$1,251.04
Upside / Downside	113.84%	123.66%	133.84%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Miscellaneous

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Industry

Sector

PT Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk (SIDO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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