DDM Analysis: OEWA.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$351.20 - $973.31	$912.13
Multi-Stage	$140.18 - $153.18	$146.56
Blended Fair Value	$529.35
Current Price	$61.90
Upside	755.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	67.68%	18.73%	5.57	4.47	1.05	0.75	0.69	0.42	0.51	0.35	0.47	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	24.48%	325.84%	40.02%	8.69%	64.30%	-18.06%	45.26%	-25.69%	4.01%	-54.34%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.51%	6.53%	1.31%	0.79%	1.11%	1.27%	1.19%	1.50%	2.98%	4.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,700.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,329.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	370.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	340.06	212.53	127.52
Cash Retained (M)	370.83	370.83	370.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-340.06	-212.53	-127.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30.77	158.29	243.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	347.42	347.42	347.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.46	0.70
LTM Dividend per Share	3.83	3.83	3.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.46	0.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.92	4.28	4.53
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$351.20	$912.13	$973.31
Upside / Downside	467.37%	1,373.56%	1,472.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,700.28	1,810.79	1,928.50	2,053.85	2,187.35	2,329.53	2,399.41
Payout Ratio	78.19%	80.55%	82.91%	85.28%	87.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,329.45	1,458.63	1,598.99	1,751.44	1,916.95	2,096.57	2,219.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,354.51	1,367.35	1,380.19
Year 2 PV (M)	1,378.85	1,405.12	1,431.63
Year 3 PV (M)	1,402.50	1,442.76	1,483.78
Year 4 PV (M)	1,425.45	1,480.27	1,536.66
Year 5 PV (M)	1,447.73	1,517.66	1,590.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	41,690.15	43,703.79	45,794.51
Equity Value (M)	48,699.19	50,916.95	53,217.03
Shares Outstanding (M)	347.42	347.42	347.42
Fair Value	$140.18	$146.56	$153.18
Upside / Downside	126.45%	136.77%	147.46%

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Verbund AG (OEWA.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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