DDM Analysis: MC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.60 - $106.32	$73.38
Multi-Stage	$42.82 - $46.55	$44.65
Blended Fair Value	$59.02
Current Price	$71.32
Upside	-17.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-56.91%	-39.30%	0.04	2.32	2.23	6.11	3.60	2.66	4.00	3.26	1.97	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-98.29%	4.30%	-63.61%	69.65%	35.25%	-33.35%	22.74%	65.28%	91.21%	-82.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.07%	4.13%	5.79%	13.02%	6.57%	9.48%	9.26%	6.41%	5.12%	3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	234.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	201.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46.91	29.32	17.59
Cash Retained (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46.91	-29.32	-17.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-13.82	3.77	15.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.57	2.57	2.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.61	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$52.60	$73.38	$106.32
Upside / Downside	-26.25%	2.89%	49.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	234.57	249.82	266.06	283.35	301.77	321.38	331.02
Payout Ratio	85.89%	86.71%	87.54%	88.36%	89.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	201.48	216.63	232.89	250.36	269.11	289.24	306.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	194.56	196.41	198.25
Year 2 PV (M)	187.87	191.45	195.06
Year 3 PV (M)	181.39	186.59	191.90
Year 4 PV (M)	175.11	181.85	188.77
Year 5 PV (M)	169.04	177.21	185.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,453.03	2,571.51	2,694.53
Equity Value (M)	3,361.00	3,505.01	3,654.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
Fair Value	$42.82	$44.65	$46.55
Upside / Downside	-39.96%	-37.39%	-34.72%

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2468.TW	Fortune Information Systems Corp	2.18%	$0.90	78.36%
300815.SZ	EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd	2.18%	$0.50	38.67%
300910.SZ	Xinxiang Richful Lube Additive Co., Ltd	2.18%	$1.23	45.00%
4908.TWO	APAC Opto Electronics Inc.	2.18%	$1.74	72.09%
601369.SS	Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.22	37.55%
067160.KQ	Soop Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$1,492.25	15.52%
3898.HK	Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.83	29.19%
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603383.SS	Fujian Apex Software Co.,LTD	2.17%	$0.78	83.82%
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Moelis & Company (MC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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