DDM Analysis: DHI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$311.90 - $1,007.33	$504.65
Multi-Stage	$200.67 - $219.46	$209.89
Blended Fair Value	$357.27
Current Price	$169.47
Upside	110.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.09%	18.37%	1.61	1.28	1.11	1.03	0.94	0.83	0.73	0.61	0.49	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	25.20%	15.83%	7.80%	9.40%	13.01%	14.59%	18.58%	25.94%	26.03%	29.59%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.95%	0.92%	0.73%	1.15%	0.87%	1.21%	1.37%	1.76%	0.95%	1.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,585.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	494.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,090.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	717.04	448.15	268.89
Cash Retained (M)	3,090.40	3,090.40	3,090.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-717.04	-448.15	-268.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,373.36	2,642.25	2,821.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	308.13	308.13	308.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	7.70	8.58	9.16
LTM Dividend per Share	1.61	1.61	1.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share	7.70	8.58	9.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.31	10.18	10.76
WACC / Discount Rate	8.65%	8.65%	8.65%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$311.90	$504.65	$1,007.33
Upside / Downside	84.04%	197.78%	494.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,585.20	3,818.24	4,066.42	4,330.74	4,612.24	4,912.03	5,059.40
Payout Ratio	13.80%	29.04%	44.28%	59.52%	74.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	494.80	1,108.85	1,800.64	2,577.68	3,448.12	4,420.83	4,679.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.65%	8.65%	8.65%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,011.00	1,020.59	1,030.17
Year 2 PV (M)	1,496.87	1,525.38	1,554.16
Year 3 PV (M)	1,953.73	2,009.82	2,066.96
Year 4 PV (M)	2,382.86	2,474.49	2,568.75
Year 5 PV (M)	2,785.47	2,920.01	3,059.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	52,203.01	54,724.44	57,342.36
Equity Value (M)	61,832.94	64,674.72	67,622.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	308.13	308.13	308.13
Fair Value	$200.67	$209.89	$219.46
Upside / Downside	18.41%	23.85%	29.50%

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D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener