DDM Analysis: BDMN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,049.96 - $4,543.61	$3,761.14
Multi-Stage	$6,472.91 - $7,128.27	$6,794.12
Blended Fair Value	$5,277.63
Current Price	$2,380.00
Upside	121.75%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-2.04%	1.98%	133.37	124.78	61.25	40.28	196.06	147.82	137.25	101.67	78.01	83.37
YoY Growth	-	-	6.88%	103.74%	52.06%	-79.46%	32.64%	7.70%	35.01%	30.33%	-6.43%	-23.93%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.47%	4.27%	2.13%	1.65%	7.18%	7.07%	1.46%	1.48%	1.66%	2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,679,259.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,168,522.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,510,737.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	735,851.80	459,907.38	275,944.43
Cash Retained (M)	2,510,737.00	2,510,737.00	2,510,737.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-735,851.80	-459,907.38	-275,944.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,774,885.20	2,050,829.63	2,234,792.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9,773.55	9,773.55	9,773.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share	181.60	209.83	228.66
LTM Dividend per Share	119.56	119.56	119.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share	181.60	209.83	228.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	301.16	329.39	348.22
WACC / Discount Rate	7.04%	7.04%	7.04%
Growth Rate	-2.58%	-1.58%	-0.58%
Fair Value	$3,049.96	$3,761.14	$4,543.61
Upside / Downside	28.15%	58.03%	90.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,679,259.00	3,621,016.68	3,563,696.32	3,507,283.34	3,451,763.38	3,397,122.29	3,499,035.96
Payout Ratio	31.76%	43.41%	55.06%	66.70%	78.35%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,168,522.00	1,571,802.53	1,962,022.45	2,339,494.22	2,704,523.64	3,057,410.06	3,236,608.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.04%	7.04%	7.04%
Growth Rate	-2.58%	-1.58%	-0.58%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,453,556.41	1,468,477.38	1,483,398.35
Year 2 PV (M)	1,677,922.07	1,712,547.12	1,747,525.78
Year 3 PV (M)	1,850,221.39	1,907,786.67	1,966,533.74
Year 4 PV (M)	1,978,000.56	2,060,477.58	2,145,507.40
Year 5 PV (M)	2,067,869.96	2,176,206.38	2,289,036.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	54,235,786.23	57,077,217.72	60,036,511.51
Equity Value (M)	63,263,356.62	66,402,712.85	69,668,513.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	9,773.55	9,773.55	9,773.55
Fair Value	$6,472.91	$6,794.12	$7,128.27
Upside / Downside	171.97%	185.47%	199.51%

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Financial Statements

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PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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