DDM Analysis: 6049.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$494.94 - $1,078.13	$1,010.37
Multi-Stage	$161.54 - $176.88	$169.06
Blended Fair Value	$589.72
Current Price	$30.24
Upside	1,850.12%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.11%	0.00%	1.00	0.51	0.31	0.43	0.30	0.29	0.38	0.00	0.10	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	98.41%	64.92%	-29.07%	43.33%	3.75%	-23.81%	0.00%	-100.00%	320.62%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.52%	1.94%	0.75%	0.87%	0.59%	0.70%	0.96%	0.00%	0.24%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,981.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	596.22	372.63	223.58
Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52	2,150.52	2,150.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-596.22	-372.63	-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,554.31	1,777.89	1,926.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
LTM Dividend per Share	1.51	1.51	1.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.34	4.74	5.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$494.94	$1,010.37	$1,078.13
Upside / Downside	1,536.72%	3,241.16%	3,465.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,981.08	3,174.85	3,381.21	3,600.99	3,835.06	4,084.33	4,206.86
Payout Ratio	27.86%	40.29%	52.72%	65.14%	77.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	830.55	1,279.10	1,782.46	2,345.84	2,974.94	3,675.90	3,891.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,190.60	1,201.89	1,213.18
Year 2 PV (M)	1,544.34	1,573.75	1,603.45
Year 3 PV (M)	1,891.83	1,946.14	2,001.48
Year 4 PV (M)	2,233.18	2,319.06	2,407.40
Year 5 PV (M)	2,568.45	2,692.51	2,821.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79,399.54	83,234.56	87,216.37
Equity Value (M)	88,827.94	92,967.92	97,263.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
Fair Value	$161.54	$169.06	$176.88
Upside / Downside	434.18%	459.08%	484.91%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
0316.HK	Orient Overseas (International) Limited	2.19%	$2.79	48.77%
3109.T	Shikibo Ltd.	2.19%	$22.89	30.55%
3679.T	ZIGExN Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$10.55	26.56%
4516.T	Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$123.87	26.14%
4617.T	Chugoku Marine Paints, Ltd.	2.19%	$96.72	42.42%
600051.SS	Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd.	2.19%	$0.17	55.08%
603799.SS	Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd	2.19%	$1.49	48.01%
7233.KL	Dufu Technology Corp. Berhad	2.19%	$0.04	95.65%
9064.T	Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$48.33	36.15%
9948.T	ARCS Company Limited	2.19%	$74.01	33.92%
000049.SZ	Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.59	54.00%
000153.SZ	Anhui Fengyuan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.14	55.80%
002237.SZ	Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.29	61.47%
002626.SZ	Xiamen Kingdomway Group Company	2.18%	$0.43	54.26%
2468.TW	Fortune Information Systems Corp	2.18%	$0.90	78.36%
300815.SZ	EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd	2.18%	$0.50	38.67%
300910.SZ	Xinxiang Richful Lube Additive Co., Ltd	2.18%	$1.23	45.00%
4908.TWO	APAC Opto Electronics Inc.	2.18%	$1.74	72.09%
601369.SS	Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.22	37.55%
067160.KQ	Soop Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$1,492.25	15.52%
3898.HK	Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.83	29.19%
4507.T	Shionogi & Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$61.65	30.72%
603383.SS	Fujian Apex Software Co.,LTD	2.17%	$0.78	83.82%
603568.SS	Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.55	34.14%
7181.T	Japan Post Insurance Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$102.13	24.56%
053800.KQ	AhnLab, Inc.	2.16%	$1,304.40	28.50%
0QI9.L	Creades AB	2.16%	$1.59	16.64%
601233.SS	Tongkun Group Co., Ltd.	2.16%	$0.37	50.52%
605056.SS	Xianheng International Science&Technology Co., Ltd.	2.16%	$0.36	57.45%
MGIC	Magic Software Enterprises Ltd.	2.16%	$0.56	69.02%
002311.SZ	Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited	2.15%	$1.19	39.51%
3727.T	Aplix Corporation	2.15%	$3.44	54.78%
603586.SS	Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd	2.15%	$0.41	51.17%
6268.T	Nabtesco Corporation	2.15%	$80.74	60.45%
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BPAN4.SA	Banco Pan S.A.	2.15%	$0.24	41.77%
NCM.AX	Newcrest Mining Limited	2.15%	$0.50	38.39%
PARAUCO.SN	Parque Arauco S.A.	2.15%	$62.73	42.33%
SHANG.BK	Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited	2.15%	$1.00	56.93%
VZUG.SW	V-ZUG Holding AG	2.15%	$0.91	19.03%
WTIF.SG	WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF	2.15%	$0.98	91.42%
002258.SZ	Lier Chemical Co.,LTD.	2.14%	$0.28	48.19%
002605.SZ	Shanghai Yaoji Technology Co., Ltd.	2.14%	$0.50	42.55%
0GZV.IL	Getinge AB (publ)	2.14%	$4.67	61.88%
0PMJ.L	Siemens Healthineers AG	2.14%	$0.95	49.72%
300482.SZ	Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd	2.14%	$0.42	74.45%
5288.KL	Sime Darby Property Berhad	2.14%	$0.03	42.63%
603218.SS	Riyue Heavy Industry Co., Ltd.	2.14%	$0.28	52.42%
BXB.AX	Brambles Limited	2.14%	$0.49	40.03%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. (6049.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener